For some reason, I've taken a strong disliking to the conference championship games this year. Not that I ever thought they were a great idea, but this year they really annoy me. All three games are rematches, all three seem unnecessary and two of the three are holding up the bowl selections. I think that's where my irritation comes from. With the BCS (oops, almost dropped a letter there) quantifying the bowl selection process, I'm more impatient to find out the match-ups and more inclined to argue the relative merits of Florida State and Miami. Of course, if K-State beats Oklahoma then both Florida teams make the championship game and there's no argument (unless you're a Washington or Oklahoma fan). So, do we need to argue or not? It's annoying not to know. I think that there's a Pentium phenomenon here: with progress I want my results immediately, and any holdup is intolerable.
I've noticed several media people becoming more strength-of-schedule literate this year. Several people commented on the importance of the Virginia-Virginia Tech and Georgia-Georgia Tech games as they might affect Florida State and Miami. But I haven't heard anyone mention the advantage some teams get by playing an extra game. Oklahoma and company all get a nice bonus on their strength of schedules by playing another game against top competition. I'm not sure it matters much this year, but the effect could change a BCS ranking some year.
Here are predictions for all five games this week. Home team gets
4 points extra:
Army and Navy even
UNLV by 8 over Hawaii
Oklahoma by 5 over Kansas State
Florida by 8 over Auburn
Western Michigan by 17 over Marshall
|41||Texas El Paso||44.79|
|64||San Jose State||39.6|
|85||San Diego State||31.51|
|95||New Mexico State||26.35|