Welcome to the bogus (er, bonus) edition of By the Numbers. Part of the fun of a ratings system is playing "What If". I ran into one of my readers today who, in spite of having a son attending Virginia, asked me, "For God's sake, could you get Virginia Tech ahead of Virginia?" So I played with this a little.
In scenario one, I changed the results of the Virginia Tech / NC State game. In the real game, Tech kicker Brandon Pace missed a 43-yard field goal on the last play of the game that would have won the game. So, I decided that in fact NC State was guilty of roughing the kicker. In spite of the fact that Pace's leg was broken on the play, the refs only called it a 5-yard penalty. A Tech player clapped his hands when the penalty was called, earning a 15-yard celebration penalty. But backup kicker Nic Schmitt, from Salem High School, nailed a 53-yarder to win the game.
The ratings are below. You'll notice that Tech jumps to #13, ahead of Virginia. Also, Miami and Florida State swap positions. That makes some sense since Miami's win over NC State counts for less if State loses an extra game.
I checked to make sure that Clemson, which also beat State and doesn't play Tech, didn't drop. They hadn't, but they were one spot behind South Carolina. That's clearly wrong, so I changed the outcome of the Clemson / Georgia Tech game, which GT won only due to rampant cheating. However, this moved Virginia back above Virginia Tech. (Move Clemson up and you improve Virginia's strength of schedule.) So I put Clemson back at 5-4 and gave them 24 extra points for mental suffering from the GT game. And that's what produced the ratings below. One oddity. When I only changed the VT / NCS game, Michigan jumped above UVa. I have no idea why that happened. Giving Clemson exra points moved UVa back in front of Michigan.
So, if you're a Tech fan, enjoy what might have been (if you'd let the Salem High guy kick).
|82||San Diego St||35.52|
|85||New Mexico St||34.44|